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○ SIM OVERNIGHT?

The Double Down — the flagship, in the open.

One hand is on the rack today, The Double Down; the hands it outlived are kept in the open here, retired, with their full records.

TOTH Eight · THE HAND ON THE RACK · how a double bottom works →
Window80 months on record
The extremessame record, both ends — pts per contract

These are this hand's simulated trades, wins and losses, updated as they close. Set a bankroll below to see what that week would have meant at your sizing. Everything here is simulated at signal prices, so treat it as arithmetic rather than as a result: real fills slip, and a good week is not a forecast of the next one.

Its imported record cleared both the desk engine (16.2 years, PF 1.59) and TradingView's deep test (PF 1.685 over 2019–2026) — the first hand to clear both. Sim with the match counter is the gate it is in now, and the most recent months read roughly flat. Hypothetical, always.

Survivability · $2,500 on ×1 MES
worst month −$1,390 · 30 stops covered
Last 30 days · closed points
-181.8 pts
Last 30 days · round trips
3
Last 30 days · win rate
0%
Last 30 days · best / worst
-34.5 / -74.0
WHAT WOULD THIS WINDOW HAVE BEEN?
Fuel · account bankroll $
Risk setting
Contract
Multiplier

Safe plays one contract. Balanced unlocks ×2. Size past that belongs to Aggressive — and only when the bankroll clears margin plus a ten-stop buffer at that size. Arithmetic, not advice.

Hypothetical 30 days at your settings
−$909
3 round trips · -181.8 pts × $5/pt
modeling range ±20% · −$1,091 to −$727
max loss/trade $80stop 16 pts$/point $5
Covers margin plus a 30-stop buffer (suggested minimum $850).

For scale: the flagship's worst modeled run was $1,950 on a single MES contract across a 16-year test — and it holds overnight, where MES margin alone runs about $2,858 (Tradovate, verified Aug 27, 2026; it moves with volatility). An account that cannot absorb both will be forced out during a stretch the system is built to trade through. Hypothetical figures from simulation, not a limit on what you could lose.

Last 30 days · round trips
Closed (ET)SymbolPointsAt your sizing
Oct 30, 9:00 AMMES-74.0−$370
Oct 22, 4:00 AMMES-73.3−$366
Oct 14, 8:00 AMMES-34.5−$173
best +-34.5 · worst -74.0 pts · sim fills at signal prices
This window is the desk's own sim tape only: 7 round trips recorded from live signals so far. The other 173 on this hand's record are imported TradingView history — walk them with the window picker; they are never counted here.

Figures are modeled from strategy signals at signal prices. TOTH cannot see inside your brokerage account — actual fills, commissions, exchange fees, and slippage will differ, and results can vary ±20% or more from the modeled numbers. Your broker's statements are the authoritative record. All performance is hypothetical and never a promise of results.